Oil set for second weekly rise as unsettled US-Iran war crimps supply

21 Aug 2026, 7:11 AM
Oil set for second weekly rise as unsettled US-Iran war crimps supply

SINGAPORE, Aug 21 — Oil prices fell slightly on Friday, but were on track for a second weekly rise as the stalemated United States (US)-Iran war continues to disrupt supply from the key Middle East producing region.

Brent crude futures fell ¢34, or 0.4 per cent, to US$93.44 a barrel by 0646 GMT, after climbing 2.4 per cent in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped ¢44, or 0.5 per cent, to US$86.76 a barrel, after rising 2.3 per cent in the prior session.

During the previous five days of gains, Brent gained more than seven per cent, and WTI climbed more than eight per cent, reaching their highest since July 24.

Prices have increased on concerns the inconclusive state of the US-Israeli war on Iran will mean the continued curtailment of supply from major oil producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Kuwait.

The earlier peace deal between the US and Iran expired this week with no effort by either side to restart talks, and US President Donald Trump threatened economic retaliation against nations supporting Iran.

"Both sides are dug in but lacking the luxury of time to play the waiting game, against a backdrop of crude prices grinding unerringly higher," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said on Friday.

Also on Friday, Fitch Solutions unit BMI said it will review its Brent price outlook this month, adding that risks to the outlook are "tilted to the upside".

"Exports are already under considerable pressure because of the twin disruptions in play in the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iranian shut-in of the strait and the US naval blockade on Iran, and the Red Sea due to the Houthi embargo," it said.

Thousands of people have been killed in the Iran war, which began on February 28 when the US and Israel launched military strikes on Iran.

Ship-tracker Kpler's data showed that seven commodity ships sailed along the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, just half the previous day's tally. Prior to the Iran war, about one-fifth of global consumption moved through the waterway.

On Wednesday evening, Trump threatened "economic warfare and isolation on an unprecedented scale" against Tehran, warning of consequences for any country that provided "any type of lifeline to Iran".

This week, the UAE suspended all financial and economic transactions with Iran until further notice, highlighting the fraught ties between the major Gulf Arab oil producer and Tehran.

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