Super El Nino: Malaysia at risk of hotter, drier weather from late January to March 2027

27 Oct 2026, 10:07 AM
Super El Nino: Malaysia at risk of hotter, drier weather from late January to March 2027
Super El Nino: Malaysia at risk of hotter, drier weather from late January to March 2027

KUALA LUMPUR, Oct 27 — Malaysia may experience hotter and drier weather towards the end of the 2026/2027 northeast monsoon, especially from late January to March next year, following expectations of a Super El Nino phenomenon that could lead to reduced rainfall across the country.

Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) National Weather and Earthquake Operations Centre senior director Maqrun Fadzli Mohd Fahmi said these conditions could increase the risk of heatwaves and droughts, especially if rainfall decreases during that period.

The El Nino phenomenon is currently in a strong phase and is expected to intensify to a very strong level or Super El Nino towards the end of this year and into next year.

“With reduced rainfall, hot weather or heatwaves often emerge, along with drought due to water shortages caused by insufficient rainfall,” he said as a guest on Bernama TV’s 'Fokus 15' programme today.

However, the initial phase of the 2026/2027 northeast monsoon, which begins today, is expected to bring three to five episodes of prolonged heavy rainfall, particularly between this November and January 2027.

These conditions could heighten the risk of flooding, particularly in the East Coast states of Kelantan, Terengganu, and Pahang, as well as eastern Johor.

“Residents in flood-prone areas should remain vigilant regarding the risk of heavy rain during the early part of the monsoon, while drier conditions towards the end of the monsoon will require preparations for possible hot weather and water shortages,” Maqrun said.

MetMalaysia monitors weather developments around the clock and will issue heavy rain warnings when necessary, enabling relevant agencies and the public to take appropriate precautionary measures.

He advised the public to refer to the latest weather information and warnings from official sources, prepare early for possible floods, and comply with instructions from the authorities, including evacuation orders when necessary.

Maqrun also reminded the public to avoid open burning during the dry weather to reduce the risk of localised haze.

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