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Latest study shows 1 in 4 jobs worldwide threatened by AI

21 May 2025, 12:37 AM
Latest study shows 1 in 4 jobs worldwide threatened by AI

ISTANBUL, May 21 — A report by the International Labour Organisation (ILO) and Poland’s National Research Institute (NASK) revealed yesterday that 25 per cent of jobs worldwide are potentially exposed to generative artificial intelligence (GenAI), with clerical and highly-digital occupations facing the highest vulnerability.

The report, Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure, presented what researchers describe as the most detailed global assessment to date on how GenAI may reshape labour markets, Anadolu Ajansi reported.

But the study underscores that job transformation, not mass displacement, is the more likely outcome of AI’s workplace integration.

"We went beyond theory to build a tool grounded in real-world jobs," said Pawel Gmyrek, ILO senior researcher and lead author. "By combining human insight, expert review, and generative AI models, we’ve created a replicable method that helps countries assess risk and respond with precision."

The study said the global exposure rate to GenAI stands at 25 per cent, but the figure climbs to 34 per cent in high-income countries due to greater digital integration.

Clerical jobs face the highest exposure, as GenAI can theoretically automate a wide range of administrative and data-entry tasks. Other highly-exposed roles include cognitive jobs in media, software development, and finance.

The report introduces an “occupational exposure index” based on nearly 30,000 job tasks, cross-checked with AI scoring, expert validation and ILO employment data, allowing a more refined analysis of the technology’s potential effect across countries and sectors.

The findings also highlight a significant gender disparity. In high-income countries, 9.6 per cent of women are employed in jobs at high risk of automation, compared to only 3.5 per cent of men.

While acknowledging that GenAI can boost productivity, the report cautions that its effects will depend on the pace of adoption, national infrastructure and workers’ digital skills, according to Anadolu.

The report urges governments, employers and trade unions to engage in social dialogue and design policies that protect workers, promote upskilling and ensure just transitions in sectors exposed to GenAI.

The study aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s 2024 assessment that AI could influence up to 40 per cent of jobs globally, with advanced economies bearing the brunt of the shift.

— Bernama

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